The safest daily routine is one that would still work if every market website, including this one, went dark tomorrow: three Treasury yields, two weekly numbers, a look at the Bureau of Labor Statistics and Federal Reserve calendars, and the new filings on SEC EDGAR or SEDAR+ for the companies you own, read in about 20 minutes. Yesterday we published a seven-question test for judging any conservative financial markets website. Its first question was whether a site tells you where its numbers come from. This is the next step: going to those sources yourself, so that any website becomes a second opinion rather than your only one. Below: the sources, the routine, a worked example using October 15, 2026 figures, and the dates that matter through December.
Why a routine matters more than a favorite site
Every market website, however careful, sits between you and the data. It chooses which numbers to report and what to call the result. That is what editing is, but a reader who only sees the edited version cannot tell when the editing is wrong. The fix is not more websites. It is the same handful of primary sources, every day, in the same order, so you know what the numbers said before anyone told you what they meant. That gives you a fixed point against which to score every site you read, including ours.
The five primary sources and what each gives you
| Source | What you get | How often to check |
|---|---|---|
| US Treasury daily par yield curve | Yields from 1 month to 30 years, downloadable as CSV or XML | Every business day |
| BLS release schedules | The date and time of each CPI and jobs report | Weekly |
| Federal Reserve FOMC calendar | The year's eight meeting dates | Monthly |
| SEC EDGAR full-text search | US company filings, searchable by name, ticker, CIK and form type | Daily, for your holdings |
| SEDAR+ | Canadian issuer filings and cease trade orders | Daily, for Canadian holdings |
The Treasury's Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates table means you never need anyone else's chart. The BLS publishes separate schedules for the consumer price index and the Employment Situation report, each with a release date and time. The Fed's FOMC meeting calendar marks with an asterisk the meetings that come with a Summary of Economic Projections. SEC EDGAR full-text search describes itself plainly: "The new EDGAR advanced search gives you access to the full text of electronic filings since 2001." For TSX and TSX Venture companies, SEDAR+ is, in the words of the British Columbia Securities Commission, "a secure web-based system for market participants to file, disclose and search for issuer information." It also holds cease trade orders from provincial and territorial regulators. For weekly jobless claims and the average 30-year mortgage rate, we use Financial Modeling Prep market data, October 15, 2026 close in the example below.
The 20 minutes, step by step
- Minutes 0 to 3: the yield curve. Open the Treasury table and write down three numbers: the 3-month bill, the 2-year note and the 10-year note. Subtract the 2-year from the 10-year and note whether that spread widened or narrowed since yesterday.
- Minutes 3 to 6: the calendar. Check whether a BLS release or an FOMC decision falls this week. If one does, it is the week's main event, and most of what is published before it is guesswork.
- Minutes 6 to 9: the weekly series. Once a week, note the latest initial jobless claims and the average 30-year mortgage rate, and compare each with the prior week and with the range of the last two months.
- Minutes 9 to 15: your holdings' filings. Search EDGAR, or SEDAR+ for Canadian listings, for each company you own and look only at what is new since yesterday: a quarterly or annual report, a notice of a material event, an insider transaction, a new share issuance. Most days there is nothing.
- Minutes 15 to 20: one paragraph in your own words. Write what changed and what you will watch. Only then open the websites, and check their account against yours.
Worked example: October 15, 2026, read in two minutes
Here is the routine applied to the most recent close, using Financial Modeling Prep market data, October 15, 2026 close.
| Indicator | Latest | Previous | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10-year Treasury | 5.10% (Oct 15) | 5.19% (Oct 14) | -0.09 |
| 2-year Treasury | 4.77% | 4.82% | -0.05 |
| 3-month Treasury bill | 4.28% | 4.28% | 0.00 |
| 10-year minus 2-year | 0.33 | 0.37 | -0.04 |
| 30-year mortgage average | 7.40% (Oct 15) | 7.40% (Oct 8) | 0.00 |
| Initial jobless claims | 199,000 (week of Oct 10) | 198,000 (week of Oct 3) | +1,000 |
Long rates fell. The 10-year dropped 9 basis points in a day (5.19 minus 5.10), and from 5.28% on October 7 it is down 18 basis points over five trading sessions (5.28 minus 5.10). The long end did most of the moving; the 2-year fell only 5 basis points.
The short end held. The 3-month bill was unchanged at 4.28%. The effective federal funds rate averaged 3.75% in September, so the bill yields 0.53 points more than that (4.28 minus 3.75). One plain reading is that short-term money is not pricing a cut over the next three months.
The curve flattened slightly. The 10-year minus 2-year spread went from 0.37 (5.19 minus 4.82) to 0.33 (5.10 minus 4.77). It is still positive, so that part of the curve is not inverted.
Mortgages did not follow. The 30-year mortgage average was 7.40% for a second week, against 6.66% on August 27: 0.74 points higher in seven weeks. Its gap over the 10-year is 2.30 points (7.40 minus 5.10). If the 10-year keeps falling and mortgages do not, that gap widens, which is worth a line in the note.
Claims are flat. At 199,000, initial claims sit inside the 198,000 to 207,000 range of the eight weeks since late August. That series shows no rise in layoffs, even though the unemployment rate rose to 4.2% in September from 4.1% in August.
The note for the day, in one paragraph: Long yields down, short end anchored, curve slightly flatter. Mortgage rates sticky at 7.40%. Claims flat near 199,000. Watch whether the mortgage gap over the 10-year narrows next week. That took two minutes, and no website was involved. Our October view of the US economy sets these figures against the wider picture.
The dates to put in your calendar
These are the scheduled releases and meetings between now and mid-December, taken from the BLS and Federal Reserve calendars linked above.
- October 27 to 28: FOMC meeting.
- November 6, 8:30 a.m.: Employment Situation for October.
- November 10, 8:30 a.m.: CPI for October.
- December 4, 8:30 a.m.: Employment Situation for November.
- December 8 to 9: FOMC meeting, with a Summary of Economic Projections.
- December 10, 8:30 a.m.: CPI for November.
Note the order. The October FOMC meeting ends before the October jobs and inflation reports are out, so the latest CPI reading in front of the Fed at that meeting is September's: the index rose to 336.298 from 334.131 in August, an increase of 0.65% in one month (2.167 divided by 334.131). Anything you read before October 28 that claims to know the Fed's decision is a forecast built on the same public numbers you already have.
A common mistake: reading the headline instead of the release
A headline has a few words to describe a release that runs many pages, so it picks one measure and an adjective. With the September index levels above, you can compute the monthly change yourself in ten seconds and decide whether the adjective fits. The same applies to a company: "raised capital" could mean a bond, a discounted share sale or a credit line, and only the filing says which. Our rule: if you cannot find the number in the release or the filing, do not act on it.
The daily checklist
- Treasury table: 3-month, 2-year and 10-year yields written down, with the 10-year minus 2-year spread.
- Change since yesterday noted for each, in basis points.
- BLS and FOMC calendars checked for today and this week.
- Weekly: initial claims and the 30-year mortgage average compared with the prior week and the two-month range.
- EDGAR or SEDAR+ searched for new filings by each holding.
- One paragraph written in your own words before reading any commentary.
- Websites read last, and scored against the seven-question test.
The routine also makes it easier to spot coverage that has been paid for, which is the subject of our companion piece on how to tell independent coverage from paid stock promotion. For daily context, our Economy and Markets sections follow the same numbers, and our AI disclosure page explains how our articles are produced.
FAQ
Does this routine really take only 20 minutes?
Once it is familiar, yes, and often less. The yield and calendar steps take about six minutes. Filings take longer only on the days a holding has filed something, which is exactly when the time is well spent.
Do I need a paid data service?
No. All five sources in the table are government or regulator websites that anyone can open. Paid services add speed and convenience, not different underlying numbers.
Does it work for Canadian investors?
For Canadian company filings, use SEDAR+ in place of EDGAR. The Treasury, BLS and Fed sources are American, but they move the rates that Canadian markets also watch.
Where do market websites fit in?
Last. Read them after you have written your own paragraph, and keep the ones whose account of the day matches what the primary sources said.